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SPC Mesoscale Discussion

Last Updated 01/07/07

Latest News: August 2nd 2006 - Squalls and meso's
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A supercell chase and squall line!
March 13th 2006 - Supercellular bust!
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What started out as a possibly memorable day quickly became nothing more than a drive through the country when conditions which were primed, failed to produce more than some rain showers in the Listowel area. A weak line of storms which formed in Michigan quickly began to show some good rotation and other characteristics but just as soon as it had the started the storms quickly faded into thin air as they attempted to cross the cold waters of Lake Huron. Such storm conditions are usually not present in Ontario until late April or early May which has many wondering just what the 2006 storm season will bring?
SPACE
August 19th 2005 - Supercell spawns tornadoes in Fergus and floods the GTA
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Above: Only the hardiest vehicle are able to traverse an overflowing creek covering portions of Martin Grove road just north of highway 7 in Woodbridge, Ontario.

Ontario residents from Stratford through Fergus and into Toronto were effected by an intense supercell thunderstorm which produced large hail, high winds and flooding rains. Two tornadoes were confirmed to have touched down in Fergus Ontario creating an immense swath of damage while flooding rains were the main problem in the GTA where some places saw a radar estimated 220mm (8.5 inches) of rain in less than an hour.
SPACE
June 5th Severe Squall Line - Goderich Ontario
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Above: Outflow winds from the squall line stir up dust in Goderich. The day was primed for prefrontal storms until the cap built in and the sun set leaving only a large squall line. The line which was racing across lake Huron at 110km/h pummeled many coastal areas knocking down trees.
Click here for a video.
SPACE
May 10th Bust! - Capped
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Spotty rainshowers and a rainbow dot the horizon near Tavistock as Patrick Cool and Tom Stefanac attempt to find a thunderstorm. Thus far the 2005 storm season has yet to reveal any severe weather.
Latest News: April 19th Bust! - Hot Hotter Hottest
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Storm Chaser's, Dave Raynor, Tom Stefanac and Mark Rozitis parked from left to right, sit and and discuss the days lack of storms at a rest storm near hwy's 88 and the 400. While there were no storms, record braking temperatures were experiences in much of Southern Ontario as the mecury soared into the high twenties. April 19th is now officially the hottest day of 2005 thus far.
Latest News: June 1st Funnel Cloud and Low Topped Storms
The day started off with bright sunshine and warm winds out of the southwest as an approaching upper level cold low made its way into the province. Temperatures quickly jumped into the mid 20's well above the forecasted highs. The increased heat energy produced capes in excess of 1500 j/kg and extremely unstable mid level lapse rates. Shortly after midday the storms formed along lake breeze boundaries and interacted with the surrounding conditions to produce small hail, lightning and funnel clouds. One of the numerous funnel clouds was spotted over Musselsmans Lake near Stouffville.
The storms also produced flash food conditions in many regions and coated the same areas with hail ranging from 1 to 3 centimeters in size. The storm responsible for the funnel cloud shown above also produced a wall cloud just north of Oshawa as it drifted southeast. While the storms were not intense by any means they did produce more active weather than anticipated despite. Many of the storms were no more than 25,000 feet tall with the highest tops just barely approaching 30,000ft.
May two-four weekend supercell fest - 05/25/04
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coming SOON

Round 3: Morning Fun - 05/24/04
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coming SOON

coming SOON

Round 2: Big chase to the Southwest - 05/23/04
For the second day in a row severe and potentially tornadic storms once again threatened much of Southern Ontario. Conditions in Southwestern Ontario were particularly favorable for tornadoes which naturally attracted many chasers to the  region. While tornadoes did pose a threat the main problem was flooding from the nearly constant rains. Nearly 100mm fell within the 2 day period prior. The thunderstorms now produced the very real potential for flash flooding due to the already saturated ground water table. Fortunately however the extensive rains form the storms which did form was fairly
localized and the extensive river network which exists was capable of handling the excess water.


Above: A supercell thunderstorms with 3D uncorrolated rotation approaches.

Right: Torrential rain and lightning pelt areas southeast of London.

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Round 1: Elevated Supercell - 05/22/04
05_22_04M2.jpg (12825 bytes) The first system in a barrage of low's spawned severe storms in the afternoon and evening hours across much of Southern Ontario. The storms developed quickly along a stationary boundary associated with a high to the north and warm front coming out of the south. The strongest storms remained in Southwestern Ontario where surface temperatures aided by warm air advection climbed into the mid 20 with very most dewpoints. One of the storms produced two F2 tornadoes in the town of Mitchell. While the strongest storms remained south one cell in particular which developed northwest of
London tracked northeast towards Vaughan where it desperately tried to become surface based. While the storm was unsuccessful it did managed to effect the surface environment to a certain degree and it even spawn several funnel clouds and an elevated wall cloud.

Above: elevated inflow rapidly feeds the strengthening storm

Right: Elevated wall clouds sucks up scud.

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London storms put on a show - 05/10/04
05_10_04M.jpg (12971 bytes) May has been off to a quick start. Only 4 days after the first severe May storms Environment Canada found themselves issuing another batch of warnings. The storms responsible formed along a boundary wave which wandered south into a pool of unstable air between  the Lake Huron and Lake Erie lake breeze boundaries. The storms which started as multicell complex quickly turned into a linear band as they approached the London area and then broke into 3 discrete cells. The storms produced hail, powerful lightning and several funnel clouds which shocked many residents in the towns of London and
Woodstock Ontario. The storms were far more powerful than expected and exhibited far more rotation than the direct environmental shear would have suggested. While the exact reason behind their rotation still remains unclear, lake breeze interaction and the direct outflow from the storms themselves in their discrete yet linear array would provide the most likely explanation. The pattern which is responsible for the active weather appears to be holding strong and with May remaining so active June and July could potentially bring much stronger potentially destructive storms. 05_10_04M2.jpg (15996 bytes)
Success with big hailers  - 05/06/04
05_06_04M.jpg (17100 bytes) May would prove to be very different from April with the first successful chase of the season only days into the beginning of the month. The active weather was triggered by a mesoscale low pressure system moving northeast out of Michigan. The low brought temperatures in the mid 20's to much of extreme Southwestern Ontario and cleared out some of the stagnant cloud which had been coating the province for several days. Environment Canada was quick to issue their first watch for the month of May, as wind shear conditions and ample amounts of elevated and surfaced based instability provided the perfect
brewing grounds for explosive and powerful thunderstorm development. Soon after 6PM the first storms of the day formed in an elevated layer of unstable air over Michigan. The storms which developed then quickly tracked due east across Lake Huron and produced torrential rains and severe hail. The most powerful storm was a large hail producer which moved on shore from Lake Huron and produced hail over 2cm large in the Pinery Provincial Park area. The hail which accumulated in fields and on road ways created dense fog. However no damage was reported in the area. 05_06_04M2.jpg (16315 bytes)
Menacing clouds in T.O - 04/28/04
04_28_04M.jpg (16925 bytes) April left with a bang as unseasonable mild air worked its way into much of Southern Ontario where it clashed with a cold front. The relatively dry 22C air undercut very cold air with 850mb temperatures near freezing. However instability remained shallow with a convective depth of no more than 6 or 7 km. Although the convective depth was very shallow it would prove to be more than enough to trigger shallow yet charged storms that produced small hail, wind gusts and powerful lightning strikes. The storms which progressed from west to the east produced dark lowering and interesting scud cloud.
Triple bust streak! - 04/22/04
April 18th, 19th and 21st bust signal an unhappy start to the chase season for some, but bring hopes of an early chase season and the potential for some real severe wx by May. Visit the chase logs section for more info.
Mini Blizzard - 03/21/04
03_21_04.jpg (3797 bytes) While it may be the second official day of spring old man winter seems to think different. A large low pressure system out of the north dropped the temperatures from 7C Saturday right down to -8C by Sunday morning with brisk northerly winds gusting to 70km/h or more. Overnight Saturday snow squalls dropped several cm of snow in areas directly downwind of Georgian Bay. The snow was then whipped up by the brisk winds and ground blizzard conditions ensued in some regions down wind of the lake. Hwy 26 between Barrie and Collingwood was particularly bad with whiteout conditions and snow
covered roads. The OPP and local police had their hands full as numerous vehicles were stuck in ditches or involved in accidents. Plows were also busy hard at work clearing snow covered roads and for a good portion of the day some smaller side roads were closed due to the poor conditions. 03_21_04_02.jpg (3041 bytes)
Spring Blast - 03/05/04
Mother nature has been hard at work teasing Southern Ontario with well above average temperatures. The first wave of +15C weather blasted through on the 1st followed by nearly 20C temperatures only a few days later on the 5th. The warm weather created isolated storms and brought drenching rains with some areas seeing over 35mm on the 5th alone. As a result nearly every last pile of snow has melted, which combined with runoff from the rains produced some localized flooding. The weather has many chasers into storm mode and it is only a matter of time before spring truly arrives.
Chase Season 2004, Bust or Blast?
The winter of 03/04 looks to leave a mixed impression on those living in Southern and Eastern Ontario. Extreme temperatures ranged from +15C days to -40C nights and precipitation was just as extreme with rain storms, lake effect storms and several rare upwind LES events off of Lake Ontario. However, the winter overall remained calm with only a few major snow events to speak of. All this has left many wondering what kind of a chase year 2004 will turn out to be. The 2002 season remained relatively calm with only a few events, but was definitely one of the hottest summers on record with many of the days having temps well over 30C. The 2003 season was certainly a cool one however there were nearly daily non-sever storms occurring between mid July and mid August. That as a result many are left wondering what 2004 has in store. Will it be a repeat of the 99 season or a washout like 93? Only time will tell.
Wxscan Radio/Weather Group - 02/28/04
With the Canwarn list dead for now and no present radio/scanner group operating, a good friend of mine Mr.Mark Rozitis launched Wxscan today. The group is located on the Yahoo groups server and contains hundreds of scanner codes, and many interesting photos taken in recent years. An excellent group to join if you are interested in scanner/radios and weather.

Visit http://groups.yahoo.com/group/wxscan/ and join now!
Latest News: Western New York Storms - 09/03/02
Storm over Lake Ontario. Image taken from Pickering. Based upon nearly 100 years of meteorological records this has clearly been one of the slowest years ever in terms of storms and due to this the majority of chasers here in north America are pulling hair out over it. The first opportunity for storms arose Tuesday when a front was expected to bring scattered storms into much of southern and eastern Ontario. Unfortunately the stuff over southern Ontario did not materialize but else where in the east it did. So I figured I would head in that direction to see if I could see anything and was treated to a good show from south of the border. Upon entering Pickering I
I saw some nice cumulus that looked as if they may mature into a storm. Within about 20 minutes 1 in particular formed into a fairly nice storm that become photogenic. Although not severe in nature it did provide some relief to the major SDS I had. I spent a good hour or more just taking photos from Pickering of the storm fully maturing. Eventually the setting sun provided some nice pictures that I took much later when I was in a local mall shopping for some goods.
Storm over lake Ontario. Image taken from Pickering.
Checking out King City Radar
Since there is almost nothing in the world of weather I decided to head up to the King City radar station and see what I could find. As it turns out I found a locked gate, hehehe (should have seen that coming). Anyway I took some pictures of the radar station which can be found here.
Muskoka Storms - 08/15/02
It was time for a good vacation so I headed north to a nice area called Pickerel Lake which is just 20 minutes north of Huntsville. During the stay I was treated with good weather except for Wednesday with on and off showers. Fortunately I was heading out on a cruise from Bracebridge that took me into something very unexpected. The cruise generally traveled around the perimeter of Lake Muskoka and concentrated on millionaires row which was boring for my sake. I was about to give up looking for storms when a massive severe supercell storm popped up in front of the boat with clear striations
indicating a strong presence of rotation. Although the storm did not drop a funnel it did produce some good wind damage in Bracebridge and Huntsville.

Also on Tuesday afternoon some storms popped up around the lake which I was staying at and actually knocked down 1 tree across the only road into the area. It was interesting that of all the places to strike a CG just had to hit the road. As far as true severe weather goes there was none from these storms but some good rain did fall and help to fill up the lakee.
2nd Severe Chase - 07/22/02
The general threat of severe weather was fairly high this day and I was going to be heading out with Mark Rozitis. We had left just prior to 1PM and had already run into heavy rain some wind from it but generally nothing to severe until we made it to the King City area when we were greeted by a monstrous wall cloud with ominous rotation. The entire thing took a good 10 min or so to pass and moved directly over our heads. Shortly after we headed into Aurora in search of any damaged hearing that trees had been uprooted on the scanner. It was not long before we found some extensive damage..
The first thing we came across was a down 100 year old willow tree in a gas station parking lot. The damage at first appeared to be that of straight line winds but on second analysis it was clearly that of a microburst with all the damage leaning away from a central point indicative of a microburst. Also on radar there were several indications of such an event. The chase continued for 9 1/2 hours and covered the majority of York and Simcoe. Although some of the storms did develop rotation no confirmed tornadoes did touch down.
Unexpected HP light show - 07/21/02
This was clearly one of those non forecasted events. On my way back home from a small lake where I was fishing I actually thought I saw a flicker of lightning. As it turns out I was right. There was a rapidly developing MCC moving in from the west which developed in a matter of minutes and started putting down large bolts of lightning. When I arrived home I quickly set up the tripod and started taking images but the problem was that it was such a juicy precip filled storm that all the good nearby strikes appeared as  white globs of sheet lightning because of the light spreading effect of the rain. Only a few images turned out.
The system actually developed very quickly into a high precipitation lightning event. The storm was producing such a light show that it set several gas mains in Toronto ablaze.

 

 

The flames are shooting up a good 15 or 12 meters in this image. (taken by Mark Rozitis)

Unstable cold core low - 06/15/02
06_15_02M.jpg (7780 bytes) As was expected a cold low from the north sat over us brining instability. Storms had been triggerd all day long howevere it was very doubt full that anything severe would appear but by the time 3PM rolled around a full fledeged thunder storm was ripping through western Toronto producing small hail and continus lightning strikes. The chase was not planned but in the end I was more than glad to get out for a second day in a row. A cold air funnel cloud was spotted so the chase was not a loss at all. Mark Rozitis was also on the road around the same time I was and he to noticed some interesting stuff.
He had followed several storms and one in particular was very interesting. He made his way to the lowering under its rather flat base which was apparently where the main updraft was located and that resulted in him seeing some very interesting scud cloud development. Unfortunately the storm did not produce a cold air funnel but never the less it was a very interesting scenario especially given the fact that much of what he saw was extremely effected by wind shear resulting in many interesting and odd cloud formations along the base of this one storm in particular. 06_15_02M2.jpg (8601 bytes)
Semi Severe Storms - 06/14/02
06_14_02M.jpg (6835 bytes) A day that started out as foggy and cold ended with some good chase conditions. Storms began to roll through in the later hour sof the afternoon and provided us with much more of a show than expected. The very first storm we came across produced a microburst which struck a commercial area. When we drove through to investigate the effects it had not much damage had occured but at a homedepot garden center every plant which was on a shelf was now on the floor. We the proceeded through another cell and were met by marble sized hail. Near Windsor golf ball sized hail was reported.
Biggest Bust of Season - 06/12/02
This day had been forecasted to be severe ever since Friday in Southern Ontario and many had high hopes. The day before a huge severe wx outbreak was scheduled the models showed nothing. The morning of the 12th started off hot, humid and hazy with clear sky's. Capes soared above 2000 as a cold front swept through. The end result of the front was a lot of TCU, rain and severely depressed chasers. I decided to head out after 10PM to see what I could come up with but the end result was nothing except a few cg's and some warm rain. All in all this was possibly the worst bust of the year so far for all. 06_12_02M.jpg (7631 bytes)
Severe Storms in Barrie - 05/31/02
05_31_02M1.jpg (10448 bytes) It was now leading into the third day of storms when severe weather struck Barrie in the late morning hour. Mark Rozitis was on the road after the cells and captured an amazing shelf cloud with winds probably exceeding 100km/h. The storms had developed rather quickly along a cold front which would usher out out the warm weather and cool things down in the afternoon. Although the storms started only as innocent cumulus clouds they soon became towering monsters. Many people took shelter quickly as this was the anniversary of the May 31st, 1985 F4 Tornado which killed people and did major damage.
The storms in Barrie produced large hail over 2cm in diameter and winds in excess of 100km/h uprooting trees and knocking over power lines. There were also several reports of funnel clouds. However the storms were non tornadic and the reports were probably because of that fact that these storms struck the same day as the F4 so many were worried.

The 2 images in this section are courtesy of Mark Rozitis. The first shows the backside of a shelf cloud with winds exceeding 100km/h below it and the second is a power line knocked down.

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Severe Storms in Barrie & Ajax - 05/30/02
05_29_02M Leading into the second day of storms were the Barrie and Ajax cells which erupted and produced massive towers as well as anvils with beautiful mammatus. Unfortunately I was busy downtown shooting a video about the St.Lawrence market so I got out late and managed to chased some other cells in the area but got nothing good out of it however I was still able to get this image of one of the Ajax cells from from front street. The storms had a history of large hail about 4cm in diameter and high winds over 100km/h at the times this image was taken.
Outflow Chase - 05/29/02
After the quick burst of severe weather in April everything died down in May. At one point it was so cold that it snowed which wiped the though of chasing off everyones mind but that all changed on the 25. A weak squall line brought some storms and lightning activity back to Ontario and from there it was all uphill. May 29th was to be thre first of many great days. The day started off hot humid and hazy with temps in the mid to upper 20's and humidity values of 70% and greater which combined with instability to trigger afternoon storms. Although the severe weather was short lived it did provide a chase. 05_29_02Mjpg.jpg (8279 bytes)
Latest News: SDS temprorarily relieved - 05/16/02
Finally after a prolonged quite spell some activity late Thursday afternoon provided more rain and some interesting lightning activity as well some odd cloud formations. While it was not chase worthy by any means it did provide some relief for a chase community already suffering from SDS. A video of an interesting cloud formation can be found in the video archive under May 16th.
Toronto Canwarn Meeting - 05/04/02
The canwarn meeting in Toronto was a complete success and one of the best yet. It had excellent media coverage and to top things off excellent weather. You can view the canwarn images here.
April 19th Squall Line - 04/18/02
04_19_02M.jpg (9246 bytes) The final round of storms this week was concluded in the early hours of the morning on Friday when two squall lines developed. The first along outflow and the second on a short wave. The storms were low topped but even so they managed to put on an excellent light show not normally seen in mid April. The passage of the front was marked with 90km/h winds and a blinding sand storm before the rain began. With the passage of this latest front temperatures are expected to drop back to more seasonal levels which means that it may be a while yet before we see any more storms.
Latest News: April 17th Chase - 04/17/02
As temperatures reached record highs for the second day in a row and Buttonvill reported 30 degrees, a cold front from the northern US plains moved through Wednesday just after the lunch hour triggering strong convective storms and isolated severe weather. A tornado warning was in effect for the Peterborough area and flooding as well as half inch hail were reported in the Barrie area. This severe weather comes early in the year and more can be expected in the near future. The chase on this day was 300km. It was good to finally chase but these storms were not truly sever in nature. They did relieve my sds however. 04_17_02M.jpg (5794 bytes)
SNOW! - 03/27/02
The 2002 chase season was off to an early start until a winter storm on the 26th removed that though from everyone's mind. The storm dumped a average of 15cm north or Toronto and in surrounding areas with local accumulations of 25cm - 30cm. Freezing rain was also seen in the southwest. Click the beside link for a page about the storm.
Season off to a early start - 03/10/02
Click Here! The first storms of the season rolled through on March 9th. Much of the day was marked with warm temps above average in the 15 deg range. As 6 PM rolled around a weak but interesting squall line was triggered along a sharp cold front. Although the squall line was weak in comparison to summer storms it is still very rare to see such weather that early in the season. The squall line brought winds of over 140km/h to many places and prompted many wind warnings. The low pressure system responsible for the weather also had extremely strong winds associated with it prompting more warnings.
Snow Squalls
With no severe weather in site, the snow squalls are about the only thing making weather news this year. The major lack of winter storms has also been very un-presented this year and very un-expected. The recent heavy snow squalls have offered some cloud formations similar to those seen in summer but that still leaves many in doubt and wondering what the 2002 season will have in store for us. The snow squalls have been only thing  trying to lower SDS levels in the chase
community. The outlook for 2002 seems fairly good and we will just have to wait and see what mother nature has instore for us.

The picture to the left is a snow squall generated from lifting of the air over the warm lake waters of lake Huron. Lapse rates reached 12C at the 800mb level with some of these clouds. Thb linding conditions created lead to numerous accidents and a seven car pile up along hiway 27 north near King County.

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All images text and data are copyright©2005VaughanWeather
www.vaughanweather.com

All images text and data are copyright©2005VaughanWeather
www.vaughanweather.com