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SPC Mesoscale

SPC Mesoscale Discussion

Last Updated 06/04/04

Latest News: June 1st Funnel Cloud and Low Topped Storms
The day started off with bright sunshine and warm winds out of the southwest as an approaching upper level cold low made its way into the province. Temperatures quickly jumped into the mid 20's well above the forecasted highs. The increased heat energy produced capes in excess of 1500 j/kg and extremely unstable mid level lapse rates. Shortly after midday the storms formed along lake breeze boundaries and interacted with the surrounding conditions to produce small hail, lightning and funnel clouds. One of the numerous funnel clouds was spotted over Musselsmans Lake near Stouffville.
The storms also produced flash food conditions in many regions and coated the same areas with hail ranging from 1 to 3 centimeters in size. The storm responsible for the funnel cloud shown above also produced a wall cloud just north of Oshawa as it drifted southeast. While the storms were not intense by any means they did produce more active weather than anticipated despite. Many of the storms were no more than 25,000 feet tall with the highest tops just barely approaching 30,000ft.
May two-four weekend supercell fest - 05/25/04
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coming SOON

Round 3: Morning Fun - 05/24/04
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coming SOON

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Round 2: Big chase to the Southwest - 05/23/04
For the second day in a row severe and potentially tornadic storms once again threatened much of Southern Ontario. Conditions in Southwestern Ontario were particularly favorable for tornadoes which naturally attracted many chasers to the  region. While tornadoes did pose a threat the main problem was flooding from the nearly constant rains. Nearly 100mm fell within the 2 day period prior. The thunderstorms now produced the very real potential for flash flooding due to the already saturated ground water table. Fortunately however the extensive rains form the storms which did form was fairly
localized and the extensive river network which exists was capable of handling the excess water.


Above: A supercell thunderstorms with 3D uncorrolated rotation approaches.

Right: Torrential rain and lightning pelt areas southeast of London.

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Round 1: Elevated Supercell - 05/22/04
05_22_04M2.jpg (12825 bytes) The first system in a barrage of low's spawned severe storms in the afternoon and evening hours across much of Southern Ontario. The storms developed quickly along a stationary boundary associated with a high to the north and warm front coming out of the south. The strongest storms remained in Southwestern Ontario where surface temperatures aided by warm air advection climbed into the mid 20 with very most dewpoints. One of the storms produced two F2 tornadoes in the town of Mitchell. While the strongest storms remained south one cell in particular which developed northwest of
London tracked northeast towards Vaughan where it desperately tried to become surface based. While the storm was unsuccessful it did managed to effect the surface environment to a certain degree and it even spawn several funnel clouds and an elevated wall cloud.

Above: elevated inflow rapidly feeds the strengthening storm

Right: Elevated wall clouds sucks up scud.

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London storms put on a show - 05/10/04
05_10_04M.jpg (12971 bytes) May has been off to a quick start. Only 4 days after the first severe May storms Environment Canada found themselves issuing another batch of warnings. The storms responsible formed along a boundary wave which wandered south into a pool of unstable air between  the Lake Huron and Lake Erie lake breeze boundaries. The storms which started as multicell complex quickly turned into a linear band as they approached the London area and then broke into 3 discrete cells. The storms produced hail, powerful lightning and several funnel clouds which shocked many residents in the towns of London and
Woodstock Ontario. The storms were far more powerful than expected and exhibited far more rotation than the direct environmental shear would have suggested. While the exact reason behind their rotation still remains unclear, lake breeze interaction and the direct outflow from the storms themselves in their discrete yet linear array would provide the most likely explanation. The pattern which is responsible for the active weather appears to be holding strong and with May remaining so active June and July could potentially bring much stronger potentially destructive storms. 05_10_04M2.jpg (15996 bytes)
Success with big hailers  - 05/06/04
05_06_04M.jpg (17100 bytes) May would prove to be very different from April with the first successful chase of the season only days into the beginning of the month. The active weather was triggered by a mesoscale low pressure system moving northeast out of Michigan. The low brought temperatures in the mid 20's to much of extreme Southwestern Ontario and cleared out some of the stagnant cloud which had been coating the province for several days. Environment Canada was quick to issue their first watch for the month of May, as wind shear conditions and ample amounts of elevated and surfaced based instability provided the perfect
brewing grounds for explosive and powerful thunderstorm development. Soon after 6PM the first storms of the day formed in an elevated layer of unstable air over Michigan. The storms which developed then quickly tracked due east across Lake Huron and produced torrential rains and severe hail. The most powerful storm was a large hail producer which moved on shore from Lake Huron and produced hail over 2cm large in the Pinery Provincial Park area. The hail which accumulated in fields and on road ways created dense fog. However no damage was reported in the area. 05_06_04M2.jpg (16315 bytes)
Menacing clouds in T.O - 04/28/04
04_28_04M.jpg (16925 bytes) April left with a bang as unseasonable mild air worked its way into much of Southern Ontario where it clashed with a cold front. The relatively dry 22C air undercut very cold air with 850mb temperatures near freezing. However instability remained shallow with a convective depth of no more than 6 or 7 km. Although the convective depth was very shallow it would prove to be more than enough to trigger shallow yet charged storms that produced small hail, wind gusts and powerful lightning strikes. The storms which progressed from west to the east produced dark lowering and interesting scud cloud.
Triple bust streak! - 04/22/04
April 18th, 19th and 21st bust signal an unhappy start to the chase season for some, but bring hopes of an early chase season and the potential for some real severe wx by May. Visit the chase logs section for more info.
Mini Blizzard - 03/21/04
03_21_04.jpg (3797 bytes) While it may be the second official day of spring old man winter seems to think different. A large low pressure system out of the north dropped the temperatures from 7C Saturday right down to -8C by Sunday morning with brisk northerly winds gusting to 70km/h or more. Overnight Saturday snow squalls dropped several cm of snow in areas directly downwind of Georgian Bay. The snow was then whipped up by the brisk winds and ground blizzard conditions ensued in some regions down wind of the lake. Hwy 26 between Barrie and Collingwood was particularly bad with whiteout conditions and snow
covered roads. The OPP and local police had their hands full as numerous vehicles were stuck in ditches or involved in accidents. Plows were also busy hard at work clearing snow covered roads and for a good portion of the day some smaller side roads were closed due to the poor conditions. 03_21_04_02.jpg (3041 bytes)
Spring Blast - 03/05/04
Mother nature has been hard at work teasing Southern Ontario with well above average temperatures. The first wave of +15C weather blasted through on the 1st followed by nearly 20C temperatures only a few days later on the 5th. The warm weather created isolated storms and brought drenching rains with some areas seeing over 35mm on the 5th alone. As a result nearly every last pile of snow has melted, which combined with runoff from the rains produced some localized flooding. The weather has many chasers into storm mode and it is only a matter of time before spring truly arrives.
Wxscan Radio/Weather Group - 02/28/04
With the Canwarn list dead for now and no present radio/scanner group operating, a good friend of mine Mr.Mark Rozitis launched Wxscan today. The group is located on the Yahoo groups server and contains hundreds of scanner codes, and many interesting photos taken in recent years. An excellent group to join if you are interested in scanner/radios and weather.

Visit http://groups.yahoo.com/group/wxscan/ and join now!
Chase Season 2004, Bust or Blast?
The winter of 03/04 looks to leave a mixed impression on those living in Southern and Eastern Ontario. Extreme temperatures ranged from +15C days to -40C nights and precipitation was just as extreme with rain storms, lake effect storms and several rare upwind LES events off of Lake Ontario. However, the winter overall remained calm with only a few major snow events to speak of. All this has left many wondering what kind of a chase year 2004 will turn out to be. The 2002 season remained relatively calm with only a few events, but was definitely one of the hottest summers on record with many of the days having temps well over 30C. The 2003 season was certainly a cool one however there were nearly daily non-sever storms occurring between mid July and mid August. That as a result many are left wondering what 2004 has in store. Will it be a repeat of the 99 season or a washout like 93? Only time will tell.

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