NWS SRRS PRODUCTS FOR: 2006101000 to 2006101500 WWUS41 KBUF 121836 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 236 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2006 ...HISTORIC SNOWFALL MAY BE IN STORE OVERNIGHT... .A WESTERLY FLOW OF UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR CIRCULATING AROUND A VERY INTENSE STORM UP OVER LAKE SUPERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO POUR INTO WESTERN NEW YORK TONIGHT. THIS COLD AIR CROSSING THE 60 DEGREE WATERS OF LAKE ERIE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BANDS OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT PRECIPITATION. THIS PRECIPITATION MAY INITIALLY BE MIXED RAIN HAIL AND WET SNOW INTO EARLY THIS EVENING...BUT AS THE CORE OF THE COLDEST AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING...MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO WET SNOW. THIS WILL COINCIDE WITH A GRADUAL BACKING OF THE WINDS TO A MORE SOUTHWEST DIRECTION...WHICH WOULD PUSH THE BANDS NORTH TO BUFFALO'S NORTHERN SUBURBS SUCH AS TONAWANDA AND AMHERST AND NORTHWARD INTO NIAGARA COUNTY. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY EDGE INTO WESTERN ORLEANS AND NORTHWEST GENESEE COUNTIES AS WELL. MOST OF THIS AREA COULD EASILY SEE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF WET SNOW WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER AREAS AWAY FROM THE WARMING INFLUENCE OF THE LAKE...SUCH AS LOCKPORT OR CLARENCE. HEAVY SNOW IN THE BUFFALO METRO AREA THIS EARLY IS UNPRECEDENTED...AND UNIQUE CONDITIONS MUST EXIST. THERE STILL IS PLENTY OF DOUBT AS TO ANY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION AS THE GROUND AND LAKE ARE VERY WARM...BUT THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WHICH WOULD TEND TO MINIMIZE MELTING. IN ADDITION...MOST TREES ARE STILL IN FULL LEAVE SO EVEN A FEW INCHES OF WET SNOW MAY CAUSE TREE DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE QUICKLY FRIDAY MORNING AS THE LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY MOVES EVEN FURTHER NORTH AND BECOMES MAINLY RAIN ONCE AGAIN. NYZ001-002-010-011-130245- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0008.061013T0000Z-061013T1000Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA 236 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION MOST OF THE NIGHT. THE ACTIVITY WILL FOCUS OVER THE BUFFALO METRO AREA AND EAST TO BATAVIA EARLY THIS EVENING...AND TEND TO LIFT NORTH OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN SUBURBS AND UP INTO NIAGARA AND WESTERN ORLEANS COUNTIES BY MIDNIGHT OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE MIXED...WITH RAIN...HAIL AND WET SNOW CLOSE TO THE LAKE BUT IT WILL TURN TO HEAVY WET SNOW AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY OVER INLAND LOCATIONS. THUNDER AND LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THE MOST INTENSE BANDS. ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE BECAUSE OF THE UNSEASONAL NATURE OF THE STORM AND THE WARM GROUND...BUT MUCH OF THE REGION SHOULD RECEIVE 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH 6 INCHES POSSIBLE WELL INLAND. THIS CAN CAUSE SERIOUS TREE DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES AS MOST TREES REMAIN IN FULL LEAF. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ SFM WWUS41 KBUF 122248 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 648 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2006 ...HEAVY WET SNOW TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE AND BRING DOWN POWER LINES TONIGHT... .A WESTERLY FLOW OF UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR CIRCULATING AROUND A VERY INTENSE STORM UP OVER LAKE SUPERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO POUR INTO WESTERN NEW YORK TONIGHT. THIS COLD AIR CROSSING THE 60 DEGREE WATERS OF LAKE ERIE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BANDS OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT PRECIPITATION. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL OCCASIONALLY MIX WITH SLEET THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. MOST OF THIS AREA COULD EASILY SEE 3 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. THE MAIN IMPACT FROM THIS SNOWFALL WILL BE TO BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. AREA ROADS WILL BE SLUSHY...BUT THE RELATIVE WARMTH OF THE GROUND WILL HELP TO KEEP ACCUMULATIONS DOWN ON ROADWAYS. HEAVY SNOW IN THE BUFFALO METRO AREA THIS EARLY IS UNPRECEDENTED...AND UNIQUE CONDITIONS MUST EXIST. THERE STILL IS SOME DOUBT AS TO THE SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION AS THE GROUND AND LAKE ARE VERY WARM. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE QUICKLY FRIDAY MORNING AS THE LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY MOVES EVEN FURTHER NORTH AND BECOMES MAINLY RAIN ONCE AGAIN. NYZ001-002-010-011-130700- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.061013T0000Z-061013T1000Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA 648 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. A BAND OF HEAVY WET SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE REGION THIS EVENING AND MOST OF THE NIGHT. THE ACTIVITY WILL FOCUS OVER THE BUFFALO METRO AREA AND EAST TO BATAVIA...THEN LIFT NORTH LATER TONIGHT. THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL CAUSE WIDEPSREAD TREE DAMAGE AND BRING DOWN POWER LINES. ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE BECAUSE OF THE VERY WET NATURE OF THE SNOW...BUT MUCH OF THE REGION SHOULD RECEIVE UP TO 3 INCHES...WITH 6 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST PART OF THE SNOWBAND. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BRING DOWN NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS WHICH COULD ALSO IMPACT TRAVEL ON ROADS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ WWUS41 KBUF 122248 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 648 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2006 ...HEAVY WET SNOW TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE AND BRING DOWN POWER LINES TONIGHT... .A WESTERLY FLOW OF UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR CIRCULATING AROUND A VERY INTENSE STORM UP OVER LAKE SUPERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO POUR INTO WESTERN NEW YORK TONIGHT. THIS COLD AIR CROSSING THE 60 DEGREE WATERS OF LAKE ERIE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BANDS OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT PRECIPITATION. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL OCCASIONALLY MIX WITH SLEET THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. MOST OF THIS AREA COULD EASILY SEE 3 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. THE MAIN IMPACT FROM THIS SNOWFALL WILL BE TO BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. AREA ROADS WILL BE SLUSHY...BUT THE RELATIVE WARMTH OF THE GROUND WILL HELP TO KEEP ACCUMULATIONS DOWN ON ROADWAYS. HEAVY SNOW IN THE BUFFALO METRO AREA THIS EARLY IS UNPRECEDENTED...AND UNIQUE CONDITIONS MUST EXIST. THERE STILL IS SOME DOUBT AS TO THE SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION AS THE GROUND AND LAKE ARE VERY WARM. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE QUICKLY FRIDAY MORNING AS THE LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY MOVES EVEN FURTHER NORTH AND BECOMES MAINLY RAIN ONCE AGAIN. NYZ001-002-010-011-130700- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.061013T0000Z-061013T1000Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA 648 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. A BAND OF HEAVY WET SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE REGION THIS EVENING AND MOST OF THE NIGHT. THE ACTIVITY WILL FOCUS OVER THE BUFFALO METRO AREA AND EAST TO BATAVIA...THEN LIFT NORTH LATER TONIGHT. THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL CAUSE WIDEPSREAD TREE DAMAGE AND BRING DOWN POWER LINES. ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE BECAUSE OF THE VERY WET NATURE OF THE SNOW...BUT MUCH OF THE REGION SHOULD RECEIVE UP TO 3 INCHES...WITH 6 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST PART OF THE SNOWBAND. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BRING DOWN NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS WHICH COULD ALSO IMPACT TRAVEL ON ROADS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ WWUS41 KBUF 130301 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1101 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2006 ...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES TONIGHT... .A WESTERLY FLOW OF UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR CIRCULATING AROUND A VERY INTENSE STORM UP OVER LAKE SUPERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO POUR INTO WESTERN NEW YORK TONIGHT. THIS COLD AIR CROSSING THE 60 DEGREE WATERS OF LAKE ERIE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BANDS OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT PRECIPITATION. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL OCCASIONALLY MIX WITH SLEET AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES WHERE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK. IN ADDITION TO CAUSING VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BRING DOWN MORE TREES AND POWER LINES. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FRIDAY MORNING AS THE LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY MOVES EVEN FURTHER NORTH AND BECOMES MAINLY RAIN ONCE AGAIN. NYZ085-131000- /O.EXA.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-061013T1000Z/ SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1101 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. A BAND OF HEAVY WET SNOW WILL REMAIN INTACT ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. GENERAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THE VERY WET NATURE OF THE SNOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN POWER OUTAGES. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BRING DOWN NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS WHICH COULD ALSO IMPACT TRAVEL ON ROADS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ001-002-010-011-131000- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-061013T1000Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA 1101 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. A BAND OF HEAVY WET SNOW OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES WILL DRIFT SLOWLY TO THE NORTH OVERNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES. THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL CAUSE WIDEPSREAD TREE DAMAGE AND BRING DOWN POWER LINES...CAUSING WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BRING DOWN NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS WHICH WILL ALSO IMPACT TRAVEL ON ROADS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ WWUS41 KBUF 130301 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1101 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2006 ...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES TONIGHT... .A WESTERLY FLOW OF UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR CIRCULATING AROUND A VERY INTENSE STORM UP OVER LAKE SUPERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO POUR INTO WESTERN NEW YORK TONIGHT. THIS COLD AIR CROSSING THE 60 DEGREE WATERS OF LAKE ERIE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BANDS OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT PRECIPITATION. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL OCCASIONALLY MIX WITH SLEET AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES WHERE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK. IN ADDITION TO CAUSING VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BRING DOWN MORE TREES AND POWER LINES. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FRIDAY MORNING AS THE LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY MOVES EVEN FURTHER NORTH AND BECOMES MAINLY RAIN ONCE AGAIN. NYZ085-131000- /O.EXA.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-061013T1000Z/ SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1101 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. A BAND OF HEAVY WET SNOW WILL REMAIN INTACT ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. GENERAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THE VERY WET NATURE OF THE SNOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN POWER OUTAGES. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BRING DOWN NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS WHICH COULD ALSO IMPACT TRAVEL ON ROADS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ001-002-010-011-131000- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-061013T1000Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA 1101 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY. A BAND OF HEAVY WET SNOW OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES WILL DRIFT SLOWLY TO THE NORTH OVERNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES. THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL CAUSE WIDEPSREAD TREE DAMAGE AND BRING DOWN POWER LINES...CAUSING WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BRING DOWN NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS WHICH WILL ALSO IMPACT TRAVEL ON ROADS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ WWUS41 KBUF 130844 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 444 AM EDT FRI OCT 13 2006 ...HISTORIC LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK TO WIND DOWN THIS MORNING... .AN INTENSE SNOWBAND OFF LAKE ERIE GENERATED HISTORIC SNOWFALL TOTALS ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN NEW YORK FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING. GENERAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 FEET WERE COMMON ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF ERIE COUNTY...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN BUFFALO. THE HEAVY WET SNOW ON LEAF COVERED TREES RESULTED IN WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE AND NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. THE MAIN SNOWBAND WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT SLOWLY TO THE NORTH THIS MORNING AND WEAKEN AS THE SURFACE WINDS SHIFT MORE TO THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER THIS MORNING BEFORE THE TAPERS OFF BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON. NYZ001-002-010-011-131400- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-061013T1400Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA 444 AM EDT FRI OCT 13 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. A BAND OF HEAVY WET SNOW OVER NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT TO THE NORTH THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...BRINGING GENERAL STORM TOTALS TO 1 TO 2 FEET FROM METRO BUFFALO TO WESTERN GENESEE COUNTY. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NIAGARA AND ORLEANS COUNTIES. THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY DIFFICULT ACROSS METRO BUFFALO THIS MORNING. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...BE PREPARED FOR VERY DIFFICULT AND SLOW DRIVING CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ085-131200- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-061013T1200Z/ SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 444 AM EDT FRI OCT 13 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. GENERAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...MAINLY NORTH OF EDEN AND BOSTON. THE VERY WET NATURE OF THE SNOW WILL BRING DOWN SOME TREES AND POWER LINES. THEREFORE...MOTORISTS SHOULD BE EXTRA CAREFUL THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING NORTH TOWARD BUFFALO WHERE MUCH HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW HAVE FALLEN. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ WWUS41 KBUF 141336 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 936 AM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...WET SNOW TO IMPACT THE AREA TODAY... .A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL CAUSE THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW QUICKLY. THE HEAVY AND WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATER THIS AFTERNOON. NYZ012-019-020-085-142145- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0014.061015T1300Z-061015T2100Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 936 AM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 5 PM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 5 PM EDT SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL CAUSE THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW QUICKLY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE HEAVY AND WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. THEREFORE BE EXTRA CAREFUL WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING AND DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ WWUS41 KBUF 141336 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 936 AM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...WET SNOW TO IMPACT THE AREA TODAY... .A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL CAUSE THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW QUICKLY. THE HEAVY AND WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATER THIS AFTERNOON. NYZ012-019-020-085-142145- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0014.061015T1300Z-061015T2100Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 936 AM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 5 PM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 5 PM EDT SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL CAUSE THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW QUICKLY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE HEAVY AND WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. THEREFORE BE EXTRA CAREFUL WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING AND DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ WWUS41 KBUF 141338 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 937 AM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...WET SNOW TO IMPACT THE AREA TODAY... .A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL CAUSE THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW QUICKLY. THE HEAVY AND WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATER THIS AFTERNOON. NYZ012-019-020-085-142200- /O.COR.KBUF.LE.Y.0014.061015T1300Z-061015T2100Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 937 AM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 5 PM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 5 PM EDT SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL CAUSE THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW QUICKLY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED. THE HEAVY AND WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. THEREFORE BE EXTRA CAREFUL WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING AND DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ WWUS41 KBUF 141415 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1015 AM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...WET SNOW TO IMPACT THE AREA TODAY... .A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL CAUSE THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW QUICKLY. THE HEAVY AND WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATER THIS AFTERNOON. NYZ012-019-020-085-142100- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0014.061015T1300Z-061015T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.061014T1500Z-061014T2100Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1015 AM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY WHICH WAS EARLIER SENT FOR SUNDAY HAS BEEN CORRECTED TO THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL CAUSE THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW QUICKLY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED. THE HEAVY AND WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. THEREFORE BE EXTRA CAREFUL WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING AND DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES $$ TMA WWUS41 KBUF 141706 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 106 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...WET SNOW TO IMPACT THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON... .A COLD FRONT CROSSED THE AREA THIS MORNING. COLDER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA. THE HEAVY AND WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATER THIS AFTERNOON. NYZ012-019-020-085-142100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-061014T2100Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 106 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT CROSSED THE AREA THIS MORNING. COLDER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA. SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH THE GREATER ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE HEAVY AND WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. THEREFORE BE EXTRA CAREFUL WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES $$ LEVAN WWUS41 KBUF 141706 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 106 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...WET SNOW TO IMPACT THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON... .A COLD FRONT CROSSED THE AREA THIS MORNING. COLDER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA. THE HEAVY AND WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATER THIS AFTERNOON. NYZ012-019-020-085-142100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-061014T2100Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 106 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT CROSSED THE AREA THIS MORNING. COLDER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA. SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH THE GREATER ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE HEAVY AND WET CONSISTENCY OF THE SNOW COULD BRING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. THEREFORE BE EXTRA CAREFUL WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES $$ LEVAN WWUS41 KBUF 141832 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 232 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...LAKE SNOWS WINDING DOWN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER... .THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW THAT DEVELOPED BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER. ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WERE REPORTED FROM THE SNOW THAT FELL EARLIER IN THE DAY. FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...A FEW MORE SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE...BUT THE THREAT OF ACCUMULATING WET SNOW HAS ENDED. AS COLDER AIR BUILDS INTO THE AREA TONIGHT...ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. NYZ012-019-020-085-141945- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-061014T2100Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 232 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE THREAT OF ACCUMULATING WET SNOW HAS ENDED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER. THEREFORE...THE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. $$ WWUS41 KBUF 141933 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 333 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...VERY EARLY SEASON LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT LIKELY... .LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SET UP ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY AFTER 8PM TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING AND DRIFTING SOUTH DURING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NYZ006>008-150345- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0009.061015T0000Z-061015T2200Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 333 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SET UP ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY AFTER 8PM TONIGHT. AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES THE BAND WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND STRENGTHEN OVER SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...SOUTHERN LEWIS AND NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY. THE BAND WILL REMAIN ACROSS THOSE AREAS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING AND DRIFTING SOUTH DURING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FIVE TO TEN INCHES OF VERY HEAVY WET SNOW IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF SUNDAY. THE GREATEST SNOWFALL IS LIKELY OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. IN AREAS WHERE TREES STILL HAVE FULL LEAF COVER, IT WILL ONLY TAKE TWO TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW TO BRING BRANCHES AND TREE LIMBS DOWN AND PRODUCE POWER OUTAGES. THEREFORE, EVEN LOWER ELEVATIONS COULD SEE DAMAGE FROM WHAT WOULD TYPICALLY BE MARGINAL SNOWFALL. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. BE ALERT FOR DOWNED POWER LINES. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NIZIOL WWUS41 KBUF 141933 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 333 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...VERY EARLY SEASON LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT LIKELY... .LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SET UP ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY AFTER 8PM TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING AND DRIFTING SOUTH DURING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. NYZ006>008-150345- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0009.061015T0000Z-061015T2200Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 333 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SET UP ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY AFTER 8PM TONIGHT. AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES THE BAND WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND STRENGTHEN OVER SOUTHERN JEFFERSON...SOUTHERN LEWIS AND NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY. THE BAND WILL REMAIN ACROSS THOSE AREAS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING AND DRIFTING SOUTH DURING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FIVE TO TEN INCHES OF VERY HEAVY WET SNOW IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF SUNDAY. THE GREATEST SNOWFALL IS LIKELY OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. IN AREAS WHERE TREES STILL HAVE FULL LEAF COVER, IT WILL ONLY TAKE TWO TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW TO BRING BRANCHES AND TREE LIMBS DOWN AND PRODUCE POWER OUTAGES. THEREFORE, EVEN LOWER ELEVATIONS COULD SEE DAMAGE FROM WHAT WOULD TYPICALLY BE MARGINAL SNOWFALL. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. BE ALERT FOR DOWNED POWER LINES. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NIZIOL